Brazil: Executive summary 2026-2027 orange crop forecast for the São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt
The 2026-2027 orange crop forecast for the São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt, published on May 08, 2026, by Fundecitrus in cooperation with full professor at FCAV/Unesp, is 255.2 million boxes of 40.8 kg each …
1 – 2026-2027 orange crop forecast
The 2026-2027 orange crop forecast for the São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt, published on May 08, 2026, by Fundecitrus in cooperation with full professor (retired) at FCAV/Unesp1, is 255.2 million boxes of 40.8 kg (90 lbs) each. This production is divided as follows (figures in parentheses indicate the variation in production as compared to the previous crop):
- 47.38 million boxes of the Hamlin, Westin, and Rubi varieties (+2.4 %);
- 19.25 million boxes of the Valencia Americana, Seleta, Pineapple and Alvorada varieties (+9.1 %);
- 83.20 million boxes of the Pera variety (-4.8 %);
- 80.71 million boxes of the Valencia and Folha Murcha varieties (-22.8 %);
- 24.66 million boxes of the Natal variety (-33.5 %).
Approximately 26.77 million boxes are expected to be produced in the Triângulo Mineiro (+4.2 %).
Overall, the projected volume represents a decrease of 12.9% compared to the previous crop season, whose final number was 292.94 million boxes, maintaining production within a small range of the last ten years, as shown in Graph 1. Compared to the average volume produced in the last decade, the current crop shows a decrease of 14.6%.
The outlook for a smaller crop compared to the previous crop season is due to the lower number of fruits per tree and to the increase in the premature fruit drop rate, which outweigh the positive effect of the higher fruit weight and the larger number of bearing trees …
Please download the complete forecast under: www.fundecitrus.com.br/pdf
1José Carlos Barbosa, full professor (retired) at FCAV/Unesp.