Brazil: Conflicts in the Middle East drive up production costs

Citrus farmers are concerned about rising production costs. The sharpest price increase in March was observed for oil-related products, such as nitrogen fertilisers and diesel oil, due to ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran. This situation has disrupted oil production and constrained the global trade flow, leading to higher maritime freight costs.

Phosphate fertiliser prices have also risen, while potassium fertiliser quotations have seen only minimal increases.

Data from the National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels (ANP) show that diesel oil prices increased 15.4 % up to mid-March. Considering that, at the moment, the main mechanical activity performed by citrus growers is spraying, this rise in diesel prices could account for a 5.8 % increase in costs for the crop just from spraying alone, disregarding other activities and freight. This situation is concerning, as profit margins are expected to be tight in the next orange harvest.

Therefore, geopolitical developments in the coming weeks are concerning, as they could impact crop investments.