Brazil: 2025-2026 orange crop forecast update for the Sao Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt – September 2025
The first update of the 2025-2026 orange crop forecast for the São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt, published on September 10, 2025, by Fundecitrus, carried out in cooperation with professor from FCAV/Unesp …
Total orange production1 is updated at 306.74 million boxes
The first update of the 2025-2026 orange crop forecast for the São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt, published on September 10, 2025, by Fundecitrus, carried out in cooperation with professor (retired) from FCAV/Unesp2, is 306.74 million boxes of 40.8 kg (90-pound box). Compared with the May estimate, the crop season is expected to yield 7.86 million fewer boxes, a decline of 2.5 %, due to a higher projected rate of premature fruit drop. Analysing by maturity group, the early-season varieties decrease by approximately 6.1 %, the mid-season (Pera) by 1.2 %, and the late-season varieties by 1.6 %. It is also estimated that approximately 25.84 million boxes will be harvested in the Triângulo Mineiro region.
According to Climatempo Meteorologia, from May to August 2025 the average accumulated rainfall in the citrus belt was 94 millimeters, which corresponds to a 33 % deficit in relation to the historical average (1991- 2020) …
Please download the complete forecast here.
1Hamlin, Westin, Rubi, Valencia Americana, Seleta, Pineapple, Alvorada, Pera, Valencia, Folha Murcha and Natal.
2Department of Exact Sciences, FCAV/Unesp Jaboticabal Campus.