The Prognosfruit Conference is Europe’s leading annual event for the apple and pear sector, gathering apple and pear experts from across Europe and beyond. Prognosfruit 2024 took place in Budapest, Hungary. During the conference, WAPA (World Apple and Pear Association) released its forecast for the upcoming season of 2024/2025. The forecast for apples is set at 10,2 million t, 11,3 % lower than last year. The pear crop shows a slight recovery from 2023, increasing by 4,9 % to 1,79 million t.
Prognosfruit, the leading annual event for the apple and pear sector, took place in Budapest, Hungary. Prognosfruit 2024 was organised by WAPA in cooperation with FruitVeB (Magyar Zöldség-Gyümölcs Szakmaközi Szervezet). The meeting was opened with an address by István Nagy, Hungarian Minister of Agriculture, currently holding the rotating EU Presidency. He presented the agenda and priorities of the European Council of Agriculture Ministers. This agenda includes the future direction of the agricultural policy in challenging times and the future of the CAP, to secure the competitiveness of the production, and to address the impact of climate change, the sustainability debate, food security, labour issues, and geopolitical uncertainties.
In 2024, the apple production in the EU for the top producing countries contributing to this report is estimated to decrease by 11,3 % compared to last year to a total of 10.207.405 t. This year’s crop is also 13,6 % below the average of the previous 3 years. Regarding the main varieties, Golden Delicious production is set to shrink by 10,2 % to a total of 1.972.514 t. Gala, the second-largest variety, is expected to decrease by 11,1 % (1.350.835 t). Red Delicious is estimated to grow in production (+2,8 %), while Idared’s should be 18,4 % lower than in 2023.
The EU pear crop for 2024, on the other hand, is estimated to grow by 4,9 % compared to last year’s production with a total of 1.790.229 t. This increase is due to the recovery in Italy’s production (+120,5 % compared to 2023) and despite a reduction in the Belgian and Dutch figures (-26,6 % and -8,7 % respectively). In 2024, the production of Conference pears is estimated to decrease by 13,5 %, to 776.128 t. William BC pear production, on the other hand, should grow by 33,8 %. Abate Fetel’s production is forecasted to recover to 124.832 t (+131,8 %)
The market balance will be influenced by a relative steadiness of volume destined for the fresh market due to stable production Western part of the EU in France, Italy, and Spain. On the other hand, the Central and Eastern regions of the European Union were heavily impacted by poor blossoming, late frost, and hail, leading to lower crops in Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Austria. This will imply a lower supply for apple processing in the 2024/2025 season.
The outlook for the season is overall positive and should provide opportunities for better returns for the sector, which still faces the challenges of inflation and rising costs of the past months.
dsm-firmenich, a leading innovator in nutrition, health, and beauty, has opened the application process for its flavourist school’s class of 2025. This world-class training school is set to lead the next era of flavour innovation and culinary excellence. From April 12 to May 1, aspiring tastemakers from around the world can apply for the two-year trainee program.
This proprietary school reflects dsm-firmenich’s commitment to advancing the art and science of flavour creation while meeting the global demand for foods and beverages that are healthier, more delicious, and better for people and planet.
The school’s two-year curriculum focuses on scientific expertise and creative know-how, equipping students with the skills needed to shape the future of flavours. With more than 80 industry experts guiding the program, the school provides a dynamic learning environment that fosters cutting-edge expertise and innovation. In 2023, the school received over 1,600 applicants for the class of 2024. The 11 candidates will be offered a job within dsm-firmenich upon successful completion of the course.
The flavourist school is an example of dsm-firmenich’s long-standing commitment to continuous improvement and staying ahead of industry trends. The school is an integral part of dsm-firmenich’s flavourist academy, which for many decades has supported the career development of its community of flavourists – anticipating the expectations of its customers and building on more than 125 years of the company’s history. The flavourist school is led by Veronique le Gouellec, Global Director Creation, with Patrick Salord, Vice President Global Creation, as dean.
Veronique le Gouellec, Global Director Creation at dsm-firmenich, says: “The flavourist school is a testament to our commitment to talent development. These passionate people trained by dsm-firmenich will play a crucial role in developing the next generation of great tasting foods and beverages, from delicious low-sugar drinks to sustainable dairy options, savory snacks, and nutritious plant-based alternatives.”
Patrick Salord, Vice President Global Creation at dsm-firmenich and Dean of the flavourist school, comments: “It’s our ambition to shape the future of flavours and the best way to do that is to nurture talent. By investing in the training and development of the next generation of flavourists, we are contributing to our broader goal of creating healthier, more sustainable, and delicious foods and beverages for consumers around the world.”
Chr. Hansen Holding A/S today released its 2025 Strategy with the ambition to create a differentiated bioscience company with focus on its microbial and fermentation technology platforms putting Food Cultures & Enzymes and Health & Nutrition at the center of its new strategy. During the strategy period which runs until the end of the financial year 2024/25, Chr. Hansen’s long-term financial ambition is to deliver mid- to high single-digit organic growth, averaged over the period. Furthermore, the Company plans to increase its underlying EBIT margin before special items, before portfolio changes and currency impacts, with efficiency gains and scalability benefits from operations, as well as synergies from recent acquisitions, to be partly reinvested into the business during the strategy period. Average growth in free cash flow before acquisitions and special items is expected to exceed the average absolute EBIT growth.
CEO Mauricio Graber says: “Chr. Hansen has undertaken a tremendous journey since its start as an ingredient supplier to the dairy industry, and I feel very proud to lead a company with such a strong purpose and so many exciting growth prospects. With the launch of our 2025 Strategy we are stepping up our game to unlock the next wave of value creation by advancing Chr. Hansen into a focused global bioscience player that specializes in fermentation technology and microbial solutions. With this focus we will be uniquely positioned and clearly stand out in our industry.”
“At Chr. Hansen, we will continue to pioneer microbial science to improve food and health, for a more sustainable future. Already today, more than 80 % of our revenue contribute to the United Nation’s Sustainable Development Goals, and we are committed to continuing to leverage the Power of Good Bacteria™ which is also reflected in our newly defined purpose: ‘Grow a better world. Naturally.’”
Underlying markets remain attractive
During its strategy process, Chr. Hansen has conducted a thorough review of industry dynamics, consumer trends and growth opportunities in its existing segments. Megatrends such as a growing world population, demographic shifts, increasing health awareness and a strong climate change agenda continue to support Chr. Hansen’s business model. Growth prospects in the Company’s underlying markets remain attractive.
2025 Strategy (‘where to play’)
Under its 2025 Strategy, Chr. Hansen has defined four strategic focus areas that set the framework for its future growth trajectory: REINVEST, LEVERAGE, EXTEND and REVIEW.
REINVEST in core platforms
Chr. Hansen has been the ingredient supplier of choice for the dairy industry for many decades and has also built a strong microbial business for animal feed, dietary supplements and infant formula over the last thirty years. During the strategy period the majority of the absolute growth will come from the core platforms. As such Chr. Hansen will continue to prioritize and invest in Food Cultures & Enzymes, Animal and Human Health. Innovative products, launched across all business areas, are expected in the strategy period, both in existing and new product categories, for example probiotic solutions for foods and pet food.
LEVERAGE the Microbial Platform to grow lighthouses and new areas
Chr. Hansen continues to see many attractive growth opportunities to leverage its technology platform to develop solutions for new applications and end markets. The Company remains committed to further develop its existing lighthouses Bioprotection, Plant Health and Bacthera, and is today launching a new lighthouse in Fermented Plant Bases, where Chr. Hansen sees itself uniquely positioned to gain a meaningful share in this fast-growing market.
“Each of the four lighthouses holds tremendous potential. We are breaking new ground, and I am truly excited about the journey that lies ahead of us when it comes to fighting food waste, shaping the future of food and contributing to sustainable farming and the development of pharmaceuticals based on bacteria,” says CEO Mauricio Graber.
Lighthouses at a glance:
- Bioprotection: Special culture range that prevents spoilage, reduces food waste and increases safety of dairy and other foods. The long-term market opportunity is estimated to be around EUR 1 billion with an addressable market of around EUR 200 million in 2025
- Fermented plant bases: Fermentation solutions for spoonable and drinkable fermented milk alternatives and fermented beverages. The long-term market opportunity is estimated to be more than EUR 100 million with an addressable market of less than EUR 100 million in 2025
- Plant health: Crop protection solutions with a focus on bionematicides, biostimulants and biofungicides. The long-term market opportunity is estimated to be more than EUR 1 billion with an addressable market of around EUR 400 million in 2025
- Bacthera: Joint venture with Lonza AG in contract manufacturing for live biotherapeutics. The long-term market opportunity is estimated to be more than EUR 1 billion with an addressable market of EUR 150-200 million in 2025 (only clinical trial market)
EXTEND Microbial Platform through M&A and R&D partnerships
During the strategy period Chr. Hansen intends to further strengthen its technology platform across its competencies, such as cultures and probiotics, dairy enzymes and value-added fermentation through acquisitions and the expansion of the R&D partner network. The recent acquisitions of HSO Health Care and UAS Laboratories are examples of this, and both offer attractive commercial, operational and R&D synergy opportunities.
REVIEW strategic options for non-microbial assets
Chr. Hansen’s Natural Colors division is the global market leader for natural colors. Whilst the division shares the Company’s overall purpose and stand-alone offers an attractive return profile, synergies with the Microbial Platform are limited. As already communicated on July 2, Chr. Hansen has therefore decided to initiate a strategic review of its Natural Colors division. The process is progressing well.
Implementation of 2025 Strategy (‘how to win’)
Chr. Hansen has defined five dimensions along which the Company is going to implement the strategy:
- CUSTOMERS: Chr. Hansen will further broaden its customer base and expand its global reach to become a truly global bioscience company. The Company aims to increase its presence in emerging markets. Secondly, Chr. Hansen will continue to invest in application development, sales and marketing resources to positively influence end-market demand and advance its digital agenda to deliver best-in-class service to its customers
- INNOVATION: Bringing new innovations with a sustainable impact to market remains a top strategic priority. As such Chr. Hansen will allocate around 75 % of the R&D spending during the strategy period towards new product development. Furthermore, the Company will intensify its efforts to bring products to market faster
- OPERATIONS: Chr. Hansen continues to see ample room to realize further operational efficiencies in its production through process innovations and automation/digitization whilst driving scalability benefits through future capacity expansions. Capex spending as a percentage of sales is expected to decline over the period compared to 2018/19
- PEOPLE: As Chr. Hansen grows as an organization it is important to safeguard the Company’s unique purpose and performance culture. Furthermore, the Company will continue to invest in talent management and is committed to driving diversity
- PURPOSE: As part of its new strategy, Chr. Hansen will accelerate its sustainability ambition and commits to the Science Based Targets initiative to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees by reducing its environmental footprint with investments into renewable energy, recyclable packaging and circular biowaste management.
New financial and non-financial ambitions until 2024/25
Chr. Hansen has an ambitious financial agenda and remains committed to delivering industry-leading profitable growth and a strong cash flow generation. From the base year of 2018/19, Chr. Hansen aims to deliver:
- Mid- to high single-digit organic growth, averaged over the period
- An increase in EBIT margin before special items, before portfolio changes and currency impacts. The margin improvement is expected to be based on efficiency gains and scalability benefits from operations as well as synergies from recent acquisitions, which will be partly reinvested into the business during the strategy period
- An average growth in free cash flow before acquisitions and special items exceeding the average growth in absolute EBIT before acquisitions and special items
- The financial ambition is based on constant currencies and does not take future acquisitions or divestments into account, even if future activities are likely. The financial ambition is also based on the current political and economic environment and projections, and any deterioration may impact the ambition negatively (please see next page for details on COVID-19).
Chr. Hansen has set the following sustainability and non-financial ambitions:
Products: More than 80 % of revenue from sustainable products that contribute to the United Nation’s Sustainable Development Goals 2, 3 and 12; 25 million hectares covered with natural solutions (Plant Health and silage inoculants); 200m people consuming Chr. Hansen’s probiotic strains; 2 million tons of yogurt waste reduced
Planet: As part of its commitment to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees, Chr. Hansen aims for 100 % renewable energy, circular management of biowaste and recyclable key packaging materials
People: The Company aims to have introduced 100 % of its new employees to its culture model, have a 1:1 equal ratio between female employees and women in management, have a top 25 % score in its employee engagement survey and reach a lost-time incident frequency of below 1.5
Capital allocation priorities
Chr. Hansen’s capital allocation framework remains unchanged. Organic growth remains the number one priority followed by bolt-on acquisitions which the Company seeks proactively to strengthen its Microbial Platform, particularly in the dynamic and evolving Health & Nutrition markets. Thirdly, Chr. Hansen will maintain the policy of issuing an ordinary dividend of 40-60 % of net income . Finally any excess cash will be distributed as extraordinary dividends or share buy-backs.
Impact of COVID-19 on market outlooks
The global COVID-19 pandemic has changed consumption patterns and consumer choices and has put supply chains globally under pressure. As an essential part of the food supply chain and supplier to the health industry, Chr. Hansen did not see material impacts to its operations or business model from the pandemic. However, during a global recession, potentially lower protein consumption (especially in emerging markets) and delayed or reduced demand from customers may impact Chr. Hansen’s ability to drive sales. That said, the pandemic crisis also provides new opportunities, for example through increasing health awareness and interest in probiotics with immunity concepts.